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Half of Spaniards not married | CEU San Pablo

01/02/2024
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According to the latest report 'Transformation and Crisis of the Marital Institution in Spain,' compiled by the CEU Demographic Observatory (using data from the INE and Eurostat), affiliated with the Center for Studies, Training, and Social Analysis (CEU-CEFAS), around 50% of young and middle-aged Spaniards would never marry, and a similar percentage of Spanish marriages end in divorce. This data is coupled with the collapse of marriage, especially by the Church, with only 20% or fewer weddings currently being Catholic services, compared to 99% in 1976.

As stated in the report, the theoretical probability of no longer remaining single before the age of 50 has fallen from close to 100% in 1976 to only 43% for men and 47% for women in 2019. The vast majority of Spaniards used to marry before the age of 30 (85% of men and 90% of women); compared to a current figure of less than 20% (8% for men and 14% for women, respectively, in 2022).

It is also worth noting that the average age on entering into a first marriage has risen by more than 10 years from 1976 to 2022, with Spaniards being the second oldest Europeans to marry for the first time, surpassed only by the Swedish.

The decline in the marriage rate per thousand inhabitants, combined with high divorce rates, has a very negative impact on the fertility rate. Married couples in Spain and other countries have more children than unmarried couples or single parents.

Another highly damaging effect of low marriage rates and high divorce rates is the large number of minors affected by family breakdown: over 10% of babies born in Spain will be raised by a single parent. The number of Spanish children and young people being raised in this way is close to 2 million, and single-parent households now account for around 20% of households with children. In 3.6% of births in 2022, no father is listed. In 5% of these cases, the father lives in a different municipality within the same province, and in 1.9%, the father lives in a different province from the mother. In total, more than 10% of Spanish babies do not live with their father from birth, to which should be added the cases in which the father lives in a different household in the same municipality, for which there is no available data.

The percentage of babies born to married mothers has also plummeted. Babies born to unmarried Spanish mothers accounted for 53% in 2022, compared to just 2% in 1976.

Finally, marriages between people of the same sex, although very much in the minority, are an increasing percentage of total marriages, rising from just over 1.6% of those held in 2007 to 3.4% in 2022. By gender, 3.8% of women who married in 2022 did so with another woman, compared to 3.2% of men. This higher share of same-sex marriages is mainly due to the increase in their number among residents in Spain (3,147 in 2007 and 6,214 in 2022) but also because there are fewer heterosexual marriages (199,160 in 2007 and 172,410 in 2022).

Palabras clave Demographic Observatory Nuptiality Marriage Divorce Fertility